Time Series Forecasting2021en
Weather Time Series Benchmark
The Weather dataset contains 21 meteorological indicators (temperature, humidity, wind speed, etc.) recorded every 10 minutes at a weather station in Germany for 2020. Widely used for long-term multivariate forecasting benchmarks. Results reported as averages across prediction horizons {96, 192, 336, 720}.
Current State of the Art
Chronos-Large
Amazon
0.279
mse
mse Progress Over Time
Showing 2 breakthroughs from Oct 2023 to Feb 2025
Key Milestones
Total Improvement
5.3%
Time Span
1y 4m
Breakthroughs
2
Current SOTA
0.279
Top Models Performance Comparison
Top 6 models ranked by mse
Best Score
0.279
Top Model
Chronos-Large
Models Compared
6
Score Range
0.048
mae
| # | Model | Score | Paper / Code | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DLinearOpen Source THUML | 0.317 | May 2024 | |
| 2 | Chronos-LargeOpen Source Amazon | 0.306 | Feb 2025 | |
| 3 | TimesNetOpen Source THUML | 0.287 | May 2024 | |
| 4 | PatchTSTOpen Source IBM Research | 0.281 | May 2024 | |
| 5 | iTransformerOpen Source THUML | 0.278 | May 2024 | |
| 6 | TimeLLMOpen Source Tongji University / Ant Group | 0.269 | May 2024 |
msePrimary
| # | Model | Score | Paper / Code | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chronos-LargeOpen Source Amazon | 0.279 | Feb 2025 | |
| 2 | DLinearOpen Source THUML | 0.265 | May 2024 | |
| 3 | TimesNetOpen Source THUML | 0.259 | May 2024 | |
| 4 | PatchTSTOpen Source IBM Research | 0.259 | May 2024 | |
| 5 | iTransformerOpen Source THUML | 0.258 | May 2024 | |
| 6 | TimeLLMOpen Source Tongji University / Ant Group | 0.231 | May 2024 |
Related Papers3
Sundial: A Family of Highly Capable Time Series Foundation Models
Feb 2025Models: Chronos-Large
iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecasting
May 2024Models: DLinear, TimesNet, PatchTST +1 more
Time-LLM: Time Series Forecasting by Reprogramming Large Language Models
May 2024Models: TimeLLM