M4 Forecasting Competition.

100,000 time series from diverse domains (finance, demographic, macro, micro, industry, other). Competition ran in 2018. Lower sMAPE/MASE/OWA is better.

Best published scores.

39 results indexed across 3 metrics. Shaded row marks current SOTA; ties broken by submission date.

Primary

smapi · higher is better

All metrics

mase, owa, smapi

4 steps
of state of the art.

Each row below marks a model that broke the previous record on smapi. Intermediate submissions are kept in the leaderboard above; only SOTA-setting entries are re-listed here.

Higher scores win. Each subsequent entry improved upon the previous best.

1. May 24, 2019N-BEATSServiceNow11.85
2. Jun 24, 2021AutoformerTHUML12.91
3. May 26, 2022DLinearTHUML13.64
4. Apr 17, 2023TiDEGoogle13.95

12 papers
tied to this benchmark.

Every paper below corresponds to at least one row in the leaderboard above. Click through for the arXiv preprint and, when available, the reference implementation.

Neighbouring benchmarks.

Other Time-series forecasting datasets on Codesota.

Have a score that beats
this table?

Submit a checkpoint and a reproduction script. We will run it, publish the score, and — if it takes the top — annotate the step on the progress chart with your name.

• 01A public checkpoint or API endpoint
• 02A reproduction script with frozen commit + seed
• 03Declared evaluation environment (Python, deps)
• 04One row per metric declared by this dataset
• 05A contact so we can follow up on discrepancies